Marc Gerstein

Marc Gerstein is an unconventional "quant." He has long specialized in rules- and factor-based equity-investing strategies. And he authored two books on stock screening – Screening the Market and The Value Connection. Marc's quant inclinations trace back to his early days as an attorney (mainly criminal and landlord-tenant proceedings). In that world, everything Marc did had to be supported by evidence or legal authority. He first applied this evidence-oriented approach at Value Line, an independent investment-research firm that he joined in 1980. There, he learned to relate human investment stories to that company's "Timeliness" ranking system. During the mid-1980s, Marc managed the Value Line Aggressive Income Trust. That's a high-yield ("junk") bond open-end mutual fund. He steered the fund through the Drexel Burnham scandals and the related junk-bond storms. He came away from that experience with a non-academic but highly reality-based understanding of risk.

Today’s ‘Robots’ Haven’t Replaced 1980s Investors

The market rejoiced when the latest inflation update came out last week… As my colleague Karina Kovalcik noted yesterday, the Consumer Price Index (“CPI”) showed a 7.7% year-over-year gain in October. And stocks ripped higher in response. The CPI result was a bit lower than the projected 7.9% increase. And notably, it was also below …

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When ‘New Economy’ Becomes ‘Old Economy’

You’ve likely heard someone talk about the “new economy” before… Analysts first used this buzzword in the late 1990s to describe Internet companies. They believed these hyper-growth companies would be “disruptive” and change our way of life. This phrase symbolized a shift from the business of yesteryear… We wouldn’t rely on a manufacturing-based “old economy” …

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A Hidden Winner Amid Our Supply-Chain Woes

After more than two years, you’ve likely heard enough about supply-chain problems… The initial COVID-19 shutdowns in 2020 first brought the issue out into the open. And worker shortages led to continued struggles even after those shutdowns ended. Bottlenecks at major global ports spread throughout 2021. You likely saw images on the nightly news of …

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You Can Get Into Bank Stocks… But Watch the Exits

With interest rates surging higher, many readers are asking us the same question… “What about bank stocks?” After all, banks make money by lending it out. And in theory, higher interest rates mean better returns on that money. That’s the theory, at least. So far this year, the reality is much different… Like many investments, …

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First the Beatles… Now ‘FANG’

Like many Baby Boomers, I still mourn the Beatles’ breakup… Among other things, George Harrison hated the group’s grueling tour schedule. But Paul McCartney loved playing in jam-packed venues at the height of the “Beatlemania” craze. Harrison also wanted to compose more of his own music for the group. However, McCartney and John Lennon rejected …

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Follow Cathie Wood, the Futurist… Not the Investor

If all publicity is good publicity, Cathie Wood is riding high… Wood is the founder and CEO of ARK Investment Management and its future-themed exchange-traded funds (“ETFs”). She has always been polarizing. Her bold “calls” about the market often make headlines in media outlets like CNBC and the Wall Street Journal. But since February 2021, …

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By This Key Measure, the Fed’s Plan Is Working

In 2019, the Wall Street Journal noted that “hating the Fed is as American as apple pie.” That’s undoubtedly still true today… Inflation spiraled out of control in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic and recovery. It’s now consistently in the 8% to 9% range. It hasn’t been that high since the early 1980s. Many …

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