Marc Gerstein

Marc Gerstein is an unconventional "quant." He has long specialized in rules- and factor-based equity-investing strategies. And he authored two books on stock screening – Screening the Market and The Value Connection. Marc's quant inclinations trace back to his early days as an attorney (mainly criminal and landlord-tenant proceedings). In that world, everything Marc did had to be supported by evidence or legal authority. He first applied this evidence-oriented approach at Value Line, an independent investment-research firm that he joined in 1980. There, he learned to relate human investment stories to that company's "Timeliness" ranking system. During the mid-1980s, Marc managed the Value Line Aggressive Income Trust. That's a high-yield ("junk") bond open-end mutual fund. He steered the fund through the Drexel Burnham scandals and the related junk-bond storms. He came away from that experience with a non-academic but highly reality-based understanding of risk.

Sometimes, ‘Wait Till Next Year’ Is the Right Approach

The Brooklyn Dodgers became the ultimate “wait till next year” team after World War II… They won National League championships in 1941, 1947, 1949, 1952 and 1953. But each time, they lost in the World Series to the hated crosstown rival New York Yankees. Next year eventually came for the Dodgers… In 1955, they beat …

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How to Find the Right Financial Investments

Charles Schwab (SCHW) recently fired a warning shot… The financial-services giant’s stock is down about 30% over the past three weeks. Thanks to the recent banking crisis, investors are worried about Charles Schwab’s future… They fear that the company’s banking subsidiary will shrink faster than it can raise money. But management insists the business can …

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This Dying Economic Theory Is Fueling a Policy Shift

I apologize in advance… I’m tapping into my “geek” side today. I want to talk about something called the Phillips Curve. Some readers might’ve heard this concept mentioned before… The Phillips Curve was a key part of financial markets many decades ago. It fueled a strong narrative involving stock prices, employment, and wages. The Phillips …

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Why Consumer Banking Could Now Change Forever

Everybody knows rising interest rates benefit banks… Well, almost everybody. You see, when it comes to banks, the idea of interest can get complicated. That’s because the word itself does double duty for these institutions… When banks loan out money, interest is an important revenue source. And when banks pay depositors, interest is an important …

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By This Measure, We’re One Month From Inflation Tumbling

On February 28, CNBC published the following headline… On the surface, that headline looks bad. “Weakened sharply” sounds horrible. And it seems especially concerning for anyone who recently paid top dollar for a home. But when we dig deeper, we see that it’s not as bad as it seems at first. In fact, the last …

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This Investing ‘Video Game’ Is Burning Shareholders

One of Cathie Wood’s “innovative” holdings just got a letter from the feds… The last time it got a letter like that, it ended up costing the company $65 million. So once again, it looks like Wood’s definition of innovation will mean big trouble for shareholders. You see, I agree with Wood that the Nasdaq …

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Don’t Let Media Fearmongering Throw Off Your Game

The mainstream media continues to stoke inflation fears in Americans’ minds… Bloomberg provided the latest example. Last Friday, it published this headline… PCE stands for “personal consumption expenditures.” Like the Consumer Price Index (“CPI”), the PCE index measures inflation. But these metrics use different data sources and formulas… In short, CPI measures direct consumer costs. …

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Not All Cruises Are Equal Today

Folks are vacationing and dining out like there’s no tomorrow… Or at least like a recession isn’t looming. Specifically, the industry that includes hotels, restaurants, and leisure activities is strong… The industry’s Power Bar ratio features 62 “bullish” or better companies right now. And only four companies are “bearish” or worse. (Learn more about the …

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