Pete Carmasino

Pete Carmasino is our chief market strategist at Chaikin Analytics. He has more than 25 years in the financial-services industry. Pete's years of knowledge in many different strategies help thousands of our subscribers to decipher the markets... His ability to take complex concepts and break them down into digestible information is a true asset. Prior to joining Chaikin Analytics, Pete owned and operated a registered investment advisory ("RIA") firm where he managed his clients' portfolios using his proprietary methodologies. And he spent the bulk of his career as a portfolio manager for high-net-worth families, individuals, and institutions. Pete brings portfolio-management experience to Chaikin Analytics from some of the largest names in finance – including Prudential Securities, Lehman Brothers, Wachovia Securities, and PNC Investments.

We’re Now in the Social Security ‘Time Machine’

Do you remember anything from 1981? Maybe you listened to early ’80s music on your Sony Walkman. Perhaps you played Pac-Man at the local arcade. Or maybe you watched Muhammad Ali’s final boxing match. Heck, I bet some of you weren’t even around in 1981. After all, it was a generation ago. I’m writing about …

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Here’s What History Says Happens After October Crashes

Halloween is fast approaching… It’s a joyous night for kids. They’ll get plenty of candy. However, if you’ve followed the markets for any length of time, you know October is much scarier for the markets… In short, throughout history, October is known as a month of crashes and market blowouts. And the thing is… many …

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We’re at the End of Low-Risk Debt

These days, debt levels are rising alongside higher interest rates and persistent inflation… As I said yesterday, I call this dangerous mixture the “trinity of trouble.” Delinquencies are creeping higher, too. They’re not at record highs by any stretch. But some companies are already feeling the pressure more directly than others… In fact, one group …

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The ‘Trinity of Trouble’ Is Happening Right Now

Folks, a dangerous combination is brewing beneath the surface today… In fact, it’s what I like to call the “trinity of trouble.” When inflation and interest rates rise together, it puts a huge strain on U.S. consumers. That’s happening today, of course. And it’s even worse when a third factor is rising as well… You …

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Analysts Downgraded This Stock AFTER 50%-Plus Losses

Maybe you think of Adobe (ADBE) as the PDF-reader company… Or maybe you remember the company’s once-ubiquitous Adobe Flash web tools. But you might not know that Adobe is now a subscription-revenue powerhouse… In 2021, 73% of Adobe’s revenue came from its “digital media” segment. And that segment mostly focuses on the company’s Creative Cloud …

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Beware the Fed’s Backdoor Rate-Hike Strategy

The Federal Reserve has a trick up its sleeve when it comes to interest-rate hikes. And importantly, it’s playing out right now… It’s called the “balance sheet runoff.” You see, during the COVID-19 pandemic, the Fed started buying bonds to keep interest rates low. That process is known as “quantitative easing” – or “QE,” for …

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We’re Now on the 1980s Recession Clock

When inflation is this high, a recession always happens… It happened in the early 1980s. And it happened every other time inflation rose above 5%. The reason is the Federal Reserve. It needs to raise interest rates in response. That’s the central bank’s primary tool to fight inflation when it gets too high. Specifically, in …

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