Folks, we’re in a midterm election year… And if history proves right, things are going to get worse before they get better. The average peak-to-trough pullback in midterm election years over the past century is 17.4%. That’s roughly eight percentage points worse than the current decline… The benchmark S&P 500 Index recently dropped into “correction” …
The Federal Reserve is set to raise the benchmark interest rate later today… If the central bank does that, it will be the first initial rate hike since 1990 with the S&P 500 Index down more than 10% from its high. And investors are looking up at a lot of storm clouds right now… The …
At a Berkshire Hathaway (BRK-B) annual meeting I attended in the 1990s, Warren Buffett said he only had one skill… It was the ability to allocate capital. Now, you might think that process would be straightforward. But as I explained recently, Buffett’s decision-making prowess often breaks with common assumptions. Today, we’re going to look at …
The Russia-Ukraine war is heating up… And as the situation continues, talk of Russian President Vladimir Putin using nuclear weapons is making regular folks nervous. But the thing is, the risk of a nuclear bomb going off is low… That’s because of “mutual assured destruction” (“MAD”), a foreign-policy term coined in 1962 at the height …
One of the world’s most important recession indicators has a near-flawless track record… In fact, it has preceded a recession every time since the 1970s. That’s why we need to deliver a warning today… It’s on the brink of happening again. An event like this would normally be headline-grabbing news. But it isn’t this time. …
This Key Recession Indicator Is on the Brink Today Read More »
“Based on the bearish Power Gauge rating, I think the risk of a negative earnings surprise is too great.” I said those words in 2012… as I was appearing, for the first time, on CNBC’s Fast Money Halftime Report. On the panel next to me was Jon Najarian. I’m guessing you’ve heard of him… The …
Editor’s note: We’ve talked a lot about the Power Gauge over the past few months. But so far, we haven’t shared exactly how our proprietary system came to life. That all changes today… In this essay, Chaikin Analytics founder Marc Chaikin details the event that forced him out of retirement more than a decade ago. …
We’re living in uncertain times… I’ll spare you the list of bad things happening in the world right now. Unless you live under a rock, you know it’s tough out there. There’s no getting around that reality. And that’s why now, more than ever, it’s critical to make the right moves as an investor. So …
Folks, institutional analysts have terrible timing… I’ve spent my entire 25-year career reading reports from major investment banks. And the story is typically the same… XYZ Company just soared 25%. And then, a week or two later, the big banks raise their price targets by 5%. Oftentimes, the banks will still undersell the potential opportunity. …
Sī vīs pācem, parā bellum. This Latin phrase translates to “if you want peace, prepare for war.” Politicians have followed versions of this mantra for centuries, all the way back to the Roman Empire. President Ronald Reagan famously used a version of it with the “Peace Through Strength” slogan in the 1980s during the Cold …
