Marc Gerstein

Marc Gerstein is an unconventional "quant." He has long specialized in rules- and factor-based equity-investing strategies. And he authored two books on stock screening – Screening the Market and The Value Connection. Marc's quant inclinations trace back to his early days as an attorney (mainly criminal and landlord-tenant proceedings). In that world, everything Marc did had to be supported by evidence or legal authority. He first applied this evidence-oriented approach at Value Line, an independent investment-research firm that he joined in 1980. There, he learned to relate human investment stories to that company's "Timeliness" ranking system. During the mid-1980s, Marc managed the Value Line Aggressive Income Trust. That's a high-yield ("junk") bond open-end mutual fund. He steered the fund through the Drexel Burnham scandals and the related junk-bond storms. He came away from that experience with a non-academic but highly reality-based understanding of risk.

Don’t Let a Robot Own Your Future

One key question helps investors determine risk tolerance. And folks, it’s a tough one… How willing are you to sacrifice potential rewards to reduce potential losses? These days, investment firms assume they can marshal their extensive brainpower and financial muscle to automate the process for answering this question. They want you to trust their computers, …

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How to Sleep Well in Retirement Despite the Fed

I don’t know about you, but I’ve never lost a moment of sleep worrying about rising rates… And that’s despite having a significant part of my overall portfolio dedicated to fixed income. After all, I’m hoping to have a steady stream of income in retirement. The Federal Reserve’s shenanigans don’t matter to me. It’s OK …

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Lighting the Inflation Time Bomb’s Fuse

We covered the idea of “monetary velocity” yesterday… That’s the speed at which money circulates through the economy. It’s a crucial part of the well-recognized link between the money supply and inflation. But as we discussed, the eggheads have it wrong… You see, they thought monetary velocity was relatively stable. But in reality, it has …

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Inflation’s Widely Ignored Ticking Time Bomb

We learned last week that inflation remains out of control… The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics announced that the Consumer Price Index was 8.5% higher in March than a year earlier. That’s the highest year-over-year reading since 1981. Of course, government experts might point out that it’s not so bad for folks who are willing …

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Some Investments Fail the ‘Story Check’

Editor’s note: The markets and our Chaikin Analytics offices will be closed tomorrow, April 15, to commemorate Good Friday. Because of that, we won’t publish the Chaikin PowerFeed e-letter. Look for your next issue on Monday, April 18. Investment stories are fantastic… And a great storyteller can almost always come up with one. Researchers consistently …

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Traders Respond to a New War With New Tools

I don’t blame you if you think we’re on the edge of a bear market… After all, interest rates on shorter-term U.S. Treasury notes just exceeded the interest rates on longer-term Treasury bonds last week. That hadn’t happened since 2006. The “inversion” was modest and brief. But importantly, this development is a proven recession indicator. …

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The Market Loves This Sector… Even When It Hurts

Despite all the volatility, investors are in love with many types of stocks right now… Energy stocks are leading the way. That makes sense since the price of oil is nearing an all-time high. And earlier this week, we talked about certain financial companies that should do well amid the “brand-new ballgame” of rising interest …

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