Marc Gerstein

Marc Gerstein is an unconventional "quant." He has long specialized in rules- and factor-based equity-investing strategies. And he authored two books on stock screening – Screening the Market and The Value Connection. Marc's quant inclinations trace back to his early days as an attorney (mainly criminal and landlord-tenant proceedings). In that world, everything Marc did had to be supported by evidence or legal authority. He first applied this evidence-oriented approach at Value Line, an independent investment-research firm that he joined in 1980. There, he learned to relate human investment stories to that company's "Timeliness" ranking system. During the mid-1980s, Marc managed the Value Line Aggressive Income Trust. That's a high-yield ("junk") bond open-end mutual fund. He steered the fund through the Drexel Burnham scandals and the related junk-bond storms. He came away from that experience with a non-academic but highly reality-based understanding of risk.

Don’t Let Excel Spoil Your Corn Flakes

Sometimes, Microsoft Excel spreadsheets do more harm than good… About a month ago, Kellogg (K) announced a plan to split itself into three independent, publicly traded companies. These three businesses will cover breakfast cereals, snack foods, and plant-based foods. When companies announce plans like that, most Wall Street analysts turn to Excel… First, they plug …

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They’re Called ‘Junk’ for Good Reason

“Junk” bonds look very tempting right now… The trailing-12-month yield for the iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond Fund (HYG) is about 4.8%. And HYG’s “30-day SEC yield” is around 7.8%. The so-called “30-day SEC yield” is a standardized way of looking at bond returns… The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission introduced the metric in …

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Google and Facebook Have a Recession Problem

Advertising companies have a dirty secret… I first wrote about this secret during the 1990-1991 recession. I was covering media stocks at the time… In short, many investors believed media and advertising stocks were a great defensive play. Not so, I warned… Falling revenue leads to cuts in all sorts of expenses, including advertising. That …

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Outsourcing My Pharma-Biotech Research

I’ve got a problem… Like everyone else, I’m hunting for the stocks most likely to cope with the current bear market. And frankly, I’m getting some good suggestions from the Power Gauge… Specifically, I’m turning to the “Power Bar” ratio. It breaks down the number of favorably ranked and unfavorably ranked stocks within exchange-traded funds …

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In a Recession, You Have to Be Better Than ‘Good’

When a recession hits, being “good” isn’t good enough… Good dividend-seeking investors focus on strong companies. They want to park their money in businesses that can avoid cutting dividends, even when profits fall. Many such opportunities exist. The Vanguard Dividend Appreciation Index Fund (VIG) is filled with them. But VIG’s yield is only 1.95%. That’s …

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The Great Spectator Sport of Corporate Dreams

This company sounds like exactly what the world needs to solve our supply-chain woes… It calls itself a “technology platform that uses a massive network, leading technology, operational excellence and product expertise to power movement from point A to point B.” That type of platform seems like it could help unload the waiting ships in …

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Cash Is Retaking the Throne

Cash is king… That phrase dates back to a different time in the markets. It comes from before investors started falling in love with cash-burning, “basement-dwelling kid” companies. Back then, investors focused more on managing risk. They didn’t just assume growth-promising, money-losing companies would eventually figure things out. Cash really was king in those days. …

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